{"id":4995,"date":"2014-06-05T20:02:19","date_gmt":"2014-06-05T17:02:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.altoros.com\/?p=4995"},"modified":"2021-03-12T04:37:44","modified_gmt":"2021-03-12T01:37:44","slug":"by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads\/","title":{"rendered":"By 2025, Containers, not VMs, Will Run 1\/2 of the Cloud Workloads"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This blog post recalls how the containers appeared, describes why they become trendy, mentions some challenges, and tries to predict what to expect next.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_79_2 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-transparent ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads\/#Containers_dominated_in_%E2%80%9Cfirst-generation%E2%80%9D_cloud_offerings\" >Containers dominated in &#8220;first-generation\u201d cloud offerings<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads\/#Docker_is_the_most_%E2%80%9Ctrendy%E2%80%9D_but_not_the_most_advanced_container_orchestration_technology\" >Docker is the most &#8220;trendy,&#8221; but not the most advanced container orchestration technology<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads\/#Containers_future_is_bright_but_not_without_challenges\" >Container&#8217;s future is bright, but not without challenges<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads\/#Will_Red_Hat_succeed_in_injecting_vigor_into_its_OpenShift_platform_for_developers_through_this_container_expertise\" >Will Red Hat succeed in injecting vigor into its OpenShift platform for developers through this container expertise?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads\/#Will_containers_really_catch_on\" >Will containers really catch on?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads\/#Further_reading\" >Further reading<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Containers_dominated_in_%E2%80%9Cfirst-generation%E2%80%9D_cloud_offerings\"><\/span>Containers dominated in &#8220;first-generation\u201d cloud offerings<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>Softlayer, United Internet, 1and1, and GoDaddy use containers since 2000s for multi-tenancy, selling \u201cslices\u201d of servers (shared and VPS) for more than a decade. Around 2000, hypervisors solved the multi-tenancy problem \u201cthe enterprise way\u201d and at an \u201centerprise\u201d price tag.<\/p>\n<p>About the same time, web hosting companies dealt with a similar technical problem, but in a different market. It was the market that could not afford the \u201centerprise\u201d price tag of the multi-tenancy solution via hypervisors, because they were selling very tiny \u201cslices\u201d of servers to these SMBs.<\/p>\n<p>Containers dominate these &#8220;first-generation\u201d cloud offerings. By 2002, hosting companies were the first to develop and monetize the &#8220;10x efficiency factor\u201d described by Red Hat&#8217;s CTO <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/brianmarkstevens\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Brian Stevens<\/a> during the Red Hat Summit. They had no choice but to solve the multi-tenancy conundrum.\u00a0Today, more than 80% of traditional web hosting companies rely on containers for multi-tenancy.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Docker_is_the_most_%E2%80%9Ctrendy%E2%80%9D_but_not_the_most_advanced_container_orchestration_technology\"><\/span>Docker is the most &#8220;trendy,&#8221; but not the most advanced container orchestration technology<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>By 2007, VMware lost the battle for the title of #1\u00a0provider of multi-tenancy solutions for the hosting\u00a0market.\u00a0A few little-known companies emerged as winners. These few companies hold the most advanced container tech out there.<\/p>\n<p>Since 2000 and until today, container technologies (LXC) and container orchestration (Docker) are facing serious problems getting changes accepted by the upstream Linux kernel communities.<\/p>\n<p>Respect to Red Hat for embracing container-based technologies, because they are embracing disruption of their own business model. Since the disruption is relatively distant and adoption of containers in the enterprise is relatively slow, Red Hat will have enough time to prepare for the next wave of growth by taking control over next-generation cloud-native operating system, such as CoreOS.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Containers_future_is_bright_but_not_without_challenges\"><\/span>Container&#8217;s future is bright, but not without challenges<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>I believe, containers will ultimately win over the Type 2 hypervisors for cloud-native workloads. However, they face some stormy winds:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"margin-bottom: 8px;\">Short-term, adoption of container-based products, including OpenShift and Cloud Foundry, will continue to suffer from the Big 3 public cloud players having no incentives to replace a combination of a hypervisor and a host operating system (OS) with containers.<\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-bottom: 8px;\">Today&#8217;s cloud leaders pursue lock-in strategies by taking advantage of the lack of portability for the VM-native workloads. Container-based workloads and PaaS only speed up the race to the bottom of cloud pricing, while do not provide any decent amounts of lock-in for cloud providers.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Will_Red_Hat_succeed_in_injecting_vigor_into_its_OpenShift_platform_for_developers_through_this_container_expertise\"><\/span>Will Red Hat succeed in injecting vigor into its OpenShift platform for developers through this container expertise?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>First of all, many thanks to Red Hat and Docker for a great job popularizing containers among developers. Developers rule in this world and will get what they want (containers).<\/p>\n<p>The momentum surrounding Cloud Foundry will likely result in domination of the open PaaS category. I believe, OpenShift will either join Cloud Foundry or will be taking advantage of any weakness in the Cloud Foundry ecosystem to carve out a space of its own.<\/p>\n<p>Do we need another version of Red Hat Enterprise Linux? Not really. Instead, we need a solid cloud-native operating system. We need an operating system that is light-weight, and without the junk that comes with a &#8220;one-thing-fits-all\u201d design. CoreOS and OSv give us a great peak of what a cloud-native OS will offer to the end users.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Will_containers_really_catch_on\"><\/span>Will containers really catch on?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>I am very bullish on the future of containers and believe that containers, not VMs and hypervisors, will dominate cloud-native workloads in as few as 10 years from now. Taking into account the growing interest to containers from the PaaS vendors (which are on the rise as well), we can also expect these two hot trends (PaaS and containers) to support each other in the long run.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Further_reading\"><\/span>Further reading<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/how-to-deploy-spring-boot-applications-in-docker-containers\/\">How to Deploy Spring Boot Applications in Docker Containers<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/docker-containers-cloud-foundry-and-diego\/\">Docker Containers, Cloud Foundry, and Diego\u2014Why Abstraction Matters<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/when-is-a-microvisor-no-visor-at-all\/\">When Is a Microvisor No Visor at All?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This blog post recalls how the containers appeared, describes why they become trendy, mentions some challenges, and tries to predict what to expect next.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Containers dominated in &#8220;first-generation\u201d cloud offerings<\/p>\n<p>Softlayer, United Internet, 1and1, and GoDaddy use containers since 2000s for multi-tenancy, selling \u201cslices\u201d of servers (shared and VPS) for more than [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":20796,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"content-type":"","footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[873,570,206],"class_list":["post-4995","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-and-opinion","tag-cloud-native","tag-containers","tag-oss-cloud-foundry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>By 2025, Containers, not VMs, Will Run 1\/2 of the Cloud Workloads | Altoros<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Excited by the announcement of the Cloud Foundry\u2019s BOSH release for Docker, I decided to come up with our opinion on the future of containers.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"By 2025, Containers, not VMs, Will Run 1\/2 of the Cloud Workloads | Altoros\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This blog post recalls how the containers appeared, describes why they become trendy, mentions some challenges, and tries to predict what to expect next. &nbsp; Containers dominated in &#8220;first-generation\u201d cloud offerings Softlayer, United Internet, 1and1, and GoDaddy use containers since 2000s for multi-tenancy, selling \u201cslices\u201d of servers (shared and VPS) for more than [...]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Altoros\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2014-06-05T17:02:19+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-03-12T01:37:44+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/history-of-container-adoption.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"640\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"360\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Renat Khasanshyn\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Renat Khasanshyn\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads\/\",\"name\":\"By 2025, Containers, not VMs, Will Run 1\/2 of the Cloud Workloads | Altoros\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/history-of-container-adoption.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2014-06-05T17:02:19+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-03-12T01:37:44+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/ba02293dc59f7b5c8ca68bb68f0885c3\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/history-of-container-adoption.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/history-of-container-adoption.jpg\",\"width\":640,\"height\":360},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/by-2025-containers-not-vms-will-run-half-of-the-cloud-workloads\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"By 2025, Containers, not VMs, Will Run 1\/2 of the Cloud Workloads\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/\",\"name\":\"Altoros\",\"description\":\"Insight\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/ba02293dc59f7b5c8ca68bb68f0885c3\",\"name\":\"Renat Khasanshyn\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/Renat-Khasanshyn-150x150.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.altoros.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/Renat-Khasanshyn-150x150.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Renat Khasanshyn\"},\"description\":\"Renat Khasanshyn is the founder and CEO of Altoros and a Venture Partner at Runa Capital. 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